The Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) of the Central Bank kept policy
rate Selic steady at 14.25%, in line with market expectations and in a
unanimous decision. Now presided by Ilan Goldfajn, the Copom said "the
basic scenario and the current balance of risks do not indicate room for
monetary policy flexibility." Brazil's base interest rate has been at
14.25% for eight consecutive meetings as the Central Bank fights to
reduce resilient inflation. Presenting a more detailed note than before,
officials argued that short-term inflation remains above expectations
due to food prices, and highlighted lingering uncertainties about the
approval of spending cuts and other fiscal adjustments. Yet the Copom
conceded that economic adjustments could come more quickly and help
recover confidence, lowering inflation expectations that have retreated
since the last meeting but are still above the 4.5% target for 2017.
Another positive factor pointed by officials is the high output gap of
the economy, which can also help lower prices.
Valor Economico