Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Central Bank sees risk of gross debt above 70% of GDP in 2016

The Central Bank forecasts that federal gross debt may reach 70.7% of GDP in 2016, even if the government achieves the primary-surplus target of 0.5% of GDP set for next year. Under an alternative projection, which uses a market forecast of a primary deficit of 1% of GDP in 2016, the gross debt would amount to 71.5% of GDP. The Central Bank\'s estimates take into account a relatively optimistic scenario for GDP performance, with a 1.9% economic contraction in 2016, according to its Inflation Report. Private-sector economists expect the output to contract 2.8% in the period. Gross debt reached 65.1% of GDP in November, or R$3.84 trillion, according to Central Bank data, compared with 57.2% in December 2014.

Dec 29, 2015 at 9:30 PM
valor.com.br