The Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) of the Central Bank lowered the
Selic rate by 0.25 percentage point, to 7.25% a year, and made clear in
its statement that the cycle of monetary easing started on August of
last year ended with Wednesday's meeting. From now on, the rate will
stay put for a “prolonged” period of time. According do Valor Data, with
the new cut, the real base interest rate (discounted inflation for the
next 12 months) fell to 1.66% a year, one of the lowest in the country's
history. The fact that yesterday's decision was not unanimous indicates
that Copom was getting ready to end the cycle of interest rate cuts.
It's a usual practice for the committee: When decisions stop being
unanimous, the next step is changing monetary policy. The interest rate
market, which was already expecting the 0.25% percentage point cut to
base interest rates announced yesterday by the Central Bank, will now
focus on 2013.
Valor International
11:57 PM (GMT -03:00) – Oct 10 2012