The Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) of the Central Bank kept policy 
rate Selic steady at 14.25%, in line with market expectations and in a 
unanimous decision. Now presided by Ilan Goldfajn, the Copom said "the 
basic scenario and the current balance of risks do not indicate room for
 monetary policy flexibility." Brazil's base interest rate has been at 
14.25% for eight consecutive meetings as the Central Bank fights to 
reduce resilient inflation. Presenting a more detailed note than before,
 officials argued that short-term inflation remains above expectations 
due to food prices, and highlighted lingering uncertainties about the 
approval of spending cuts and other fiscal adjustments. Yet the Copom 
conceded that economic adjustments could come more quickly and help 
recover confidence, lowering inflation expectations that have retreated 
since the last meeting but are still above the 4.5% target for 2017. 
Another positive factor pointed by officials is the high output gap of 
the economy, which can also help lower prices.
Valor Economico 
Wednesday, July 20, 2016
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